16 comments on “Hong Kong 2047

  1. What will happen in 2047? The world will be stranger than what you can imagine. Think about 1977, ie. 35 years ago, could you imagine then of the computer and communication revolutions or that China would become the world’s number 2 in terms of GDP. No one is able to tell about what the world would be like in 35 years’ time. Forget the 5-year planning, the socialist model. Is that becoming the trend now because of the decline of the West? Better imbibe ourselves in the joviality of the movie “2047” than worrying about the future.

  2. We need a crystal ball to predict what wil happen by 2047. Without a crystal ball, all we can do is to extrapolate the trend and recent developments in HK and Mainland. In my view, HK has not moved forward a great deal in the last 15 years after 1997. Partly, it was intentional, as Deng did not want drastic changes in HK. It could be even more predictable if, from now on, we are included in the China’s Five Year Plans. China’s great leap forward in GDP was predictable once Deng decided to go for a more capitalist route.From a technology perspective, no doubt, 35 years of technological advancement will bring us to a new era and our lives will never be the same.

    • I think the change will be gradual so by 2047 we will naturally and smoothly become just a leading city of China. The China Premier is now in HK celebrating our return to the motherland for 15 years. We lived in a “borrowed time, borrowed place” from 1945-1997 under British rule and from thence onward we are transitioning into a PRC framework. No doubt PRC will beome more globalised. The fate of HK is heavily dependant on what is going to PRC, so in a way, I was just postulating what will happen in 2047 based on my limited understanding. As a fan of Wong Kar Wai, I guess you must have viewed his film Hong Kong 2046. Regards, Michael

  3. I have viewed all movies of Wong Kar Wai. Usually I write reviews of books or movies which are important to me, to collect my understanding of them. An article of 2046 is in the works. So far I did not understand the movie yet, but your article gave me one avenue to explore. Chunking Express, Fallen Angles – source of my Avatar – provide fascinating psychoanalytic symbols and pictures but best of the best is Ashes of Time.

    Currency is fiscal sovereignty which translates in political freedom. In that respect Europe is also a “borrowed time, borrowed place” moving towards to a centralist rule similar to a PRC cadre framework. Unlike PRC, which economic policy is seen from my limited understanding somewhat sound, the West, especially Europe will run in disaster within years. PRC has very smart economic heads, I am sure they know what asset HK is to the PRC.
    I’ve been in the PRC a few times, but only in Beijing. When I retire, only a year away, China’s countryside is very high on my travel list.

    Regards, Klaus

    • Thanks for sharing your thought. I am trying to understand the history of HK and PRC and how they influence each other. One of the books I am reading is China’s Heavenly Dynasty Concept and Hong Kong (my own translation) written by Chan Kwun Chung, Oxford University Press published this year. I think it is a very good book on this subject, however, it is in Chinese. Regards, Michael

  4. The concept about the mandate of heaven of dynasties?
    I just read about the legendary Jesuit Matteo Ricc, a true Renaissance man. Macau and HK always seemed to be the window to the outside.
    To learn a language is to have one more window from which to look at the world. Unfortunately I gave up learning Mandarin after a few weeks.
    (Tìn m̀h gìng, deih m̀h gìng, jí gìng bākfòng yàhn góng Gwóngdùngwá m̀hjeng)
    I fear neither heaven nor earth, I only fear Mandarin speakers speaking Cantonese badly.

    • Apart from Matteo Ricci, the other “westerners” who have made some impact include Marco Polo, more recently Edgar Snow. To a very small extent, Han Su Yin mentioned in my post ” Love is a Many Splendored Thing”.
      I have never come across a native Mandarin speaker who can speak Cantonese without a detectable accent. As a native Cantonese speaker, I have a lot of sympathy for them as Cantonese has so many tones and often spoken in a colloquial manner. HK and Macau were deliberately left not returned to PRC so that they can be used as windows to the outside world. Regards, Michael

  5. Hello, Michael. I’m glad to discover your blog. I lived in Tai Koo Shing for 2 years including the 1997 handover before moving on to Singapore. I’ll enjoy following your journal. Thanks.

    • Hi John, I am by no means a HK expert, I only say what I have in my mind. My posts on HK did not attract a lot of followers and therefore I am now writing more about travels. With your past background in HK, I am sure you will have a better understanding of HK and where it is heading. Thanks for the kind comment! Michael

    • Hi Ron, we don’t know a lot about our future as we approach 2047, maybe that makes life interesting. All I know is that we will become more likethe rest of China, whereas China will become more like the West! Merry Christmas!

    • Hi nelayish08, thanks so much for the nominations which I understand are important awards. I have decided not to pursue or accept any nomination / award during my retirement and for this reason, I have already turned down all similar awards. Knowing that my blog is read in many places of the world (over 160 countries) is already my biggest reward. Thanks for enjoying my posts and thinking of me for the nominations. Regards, Michael

  6. Hi, I’m from South America and I see that in the future the world will have changed much of what we imagine as some by some researchers in 2016 already as China would have a change will have already surpassed U.S. settling in terms of economy as well as the leading power in hope that they exceed to America with the world in a good way that would be my only wish for ee.uu took us to a path of violence, brutality and hope that when China is the country number one does not do the same as ee.uu because we want peace in the world.

    • I can see that the future world should not be dominated by one set of values or that the values of the strongest country should prevail. Thank you for the precious comment :-)

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